Tennis · M25 Edwardsville · 30/07, 19:00
Prediction: Oliver Bonding vs Ozan Baris
Team pages: Oliver Bonding · Ozan Baris
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliver Bonding
Ozan Baris
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Bonding
6-4 (W-L)
Ozan Baris
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Bonding 1509 · Ozan Baris 1587
| Oliver Bonding | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1509 vs 1587).
- Ozan Baris is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oliver Bonding | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.1 | 11.1-6.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 31% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Bonding
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jack Satterfield M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Coria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/06 | Dmitry Popko M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Bonding vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 64% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.