Tennis · M25 Edwardsville · 31/07, 15:30
Prediction: Maxwell Exsted vs Ozan Baris
Team pages: Maxwell Exsted · Ozan Baris
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxwell Exsted
Ozan Baris
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Maxwell Exsted
4-6 (W-L)
Ozan Baris
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxwell Exsted 1506 · Ozan Baris 1589
| Maxwell Exsted | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1506 vs 1589).
Statistics
| Maxwell Exsted | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.4 | 11.8-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxwell Exsted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Samir Banerjee M25 Edwardsville |
1-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Benjamin Berger M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Theodore Dean M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Tanishk Konduri M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Vit Kalina M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Oliver Bonding M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxwell Exsted vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 71% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.