Tennis · M25 Edwardsville · 29/07, 19:00
Prediction: Leo Vithoontien vs Ilija Palavestra
Team pages: Leo Vithoontien · Ilija Palavestra
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Vithoontien
Ilija Palavestra
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Vithoontien
4-6 (W-L)
Ilija Palavestra
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Vithoontien 1428 · Ilija Palavestra 1506
| Leo Vithoontien | Ilija Palavestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilija Palavestra (rating 1428 vs 1506).
Statistics
| Leo Vithoontien | Ilija Palavestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.3 | 9.8-8.1 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Vithoontien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Jesse Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/05 | Daniel Masur Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ilija Palavestra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Malhar Patel M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Bernard M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Drew Van Orderlain M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Kaipo Marshall M15 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/03 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Montreal |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 11/03 | Adam Faragcao M15 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/03 | Numa Lemieux-Monette M15 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/03 | Thomas Edwards M15 Sherbrooke |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/11 | William Jansen ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Vithoontien vs Ilija Palavestra?
Our model gives 50% to Leo Vithoontien, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.