Tennis · M25 Edwardsville · 29/07, 17:00

Prediction: Nikita Filin vs Ozan Baris

Team pages: Nikita Filin · Ozan Baris

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Nikita Filin Ozan Baris
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Filin 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWWLW
Ozan Baris 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nikita Filin 1546 · Ozan Baris 1578
Nikita FilinOzan Baris
Our model45%55%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Nikita Filin makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Nikita FilinOzan Baris
Win %70%80%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.81.6-0.5
Games (G-P)11.1-8.611.6-8.1
Aces2.74.9
Double faults4.91.5
1st serve %72.7%75.1%
Break %45.6%39.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nikita Filin

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Maximus Dussault
M25 Edwardsville
2-1 12-11 W
24/07 Naoya Honda
M25 Champaign
0-2 9-13 L
23/07 Jelani Sarr
M25 Champaign
2-0 13-8 W
21/07 Tighe Brunetti
M25 Champaign
2-0 12-2 W
15/07 Aleksa Ciric
M25 Louisville
0-2 7-11 L
14/07 Liam Oliver
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-4 W
12/11 Alexander Kotzen
ITF M25 Columbus · Hard
1-1 16-13 W
15/09 Samir Banerjee
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/09 Nicolas Arseneault
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/08 Henry Jefferson
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Ozan Baris

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Mees Rottgering
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-5 W
18/07 Aleksa Ciric
M25 Louisville
2-0 14-10 W
17/07 Maximus Dussault
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-7 W
16/07 Teodor Davidov
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-1 W
15/07 Marko Mesarovic
M25 Louisville
2-0 11-6 W
07/07 Tyler Zink
Challenger Newport · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Fajing Sun
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
04/07 Timo Legout
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/07 Blake Ellis
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Juan Pablo Ficovich
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-1 17-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nikita Filin vs Ozan Baris?

Our model gives 68% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.