Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 30/07, 06:00
Prediction: Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth
Team pages: Cameron Norrie · James Duckworth
Prediction summary
Winner
Cameron Norrie
James Duckworth
Estimated games
26.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cameron Norrie
5-5 (W-L)
James Duckworth
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cameron Norrie 1469 · James Duckworth 1453
| Cameron Norrie | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Cameron Norrie | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.1-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-13.8 | 14.1-15.9 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 41% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +4.6
Over 21.5: 79% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 21% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cameron Norrie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-31 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/04 | Tomas Machac ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/04 | Rafael Jodar ATP Barcelona · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Ethan Quinn ATP Barcelona · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Tallon Griekspoor Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 20/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 19/05 | Laslo Djere ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/05 | Edas Butvilas ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth?
Our model gives 61% to Cameron Norrie, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.