Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 30/07, 04:30
Prediction: Arthur Gea vs Michael Zheng
Team pages: Arthur Gea · Michael Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Gea
Michael Zheng
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Gea
7-3 (W-L)
Michael Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Gea
1–0
Michael Zheng
(1 last)
- 09 Jan2-1 16-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Gea 1572 · Michael Zheng 1555
| Arthur Gea | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Arthur Gea dominates on serve: 7 aces and 54.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Gea 1–0 Michael Zheng (1).
- Note: Arthur Gea makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Gea | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.9-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.6 | 16.1-13.2 |
| Aces | 7 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 33% · 1.90
H2H · Arthur Gea 1 – 0 Michael Zheng (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Gea 1–0 Michael Zheng
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 Challenger Noumea | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Gea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Michael Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Martin Landaluce ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Cameron Norrie Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Gea vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 55% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.