Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 30/07, 03:00
Prediction: Edward Winter vs Jenson Brooksby
Team pages: Edward Winter · Jenson Brooksby
Prediction summary
Winner
Edward Winter
Jenson Brooksby
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Edward Winter
4-6 (W-L)
Jenson Brooksby
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edward Winter 1516 · Jenson Brooksby 1512
| Edward Winter | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 15% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Edward Winter | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.2 | 12.3-12 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 30% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +4.6
Over 18.5: 79% · 1.83
Under 18.5: 21% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edward Winter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Josh Sheehy Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Justin Roberts Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 05/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/07 | William Manning Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Jenson Brooksby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Corentin Moutet ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Ignacio Buse Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Mariano Navone French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edward Winter vs Jenson Brooksby?
Our model gives 69% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.