Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 29/07, 22:00
Prediction: Mai Hontama vs Jia-Jing Lu
Team pages: Mai Hontama · Jia-Jing Lu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mai Hontama
Jia-Jing Lu
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mai Hontama
7-3 (W-L)
Jia-Jing Lu
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mai Hontama
1–0
Jia-Jing Lu
(1 last)
- 01 Sept2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mai Hontama 1532 · Jia-Jing Lu 1546
| Mai Hontama | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mai Hontama 1–0 Jia-Jing Lu (1).
- Note: Mai Hontama makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Mai Hontama | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11 | 12.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 63% |
| Break % | 56% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Mai Hontama 1 – 0 Jia-Jing Lu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mai Hontama 1–0 Jia-Jing Lu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/18 ITF Women Nanao | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mai Hontama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Kayla Day WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Diane Parry WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Valentina Ryser WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Magda Linette WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Akasha Urhobo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Jia-Jing Lu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Isabella Marton W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna Frey W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Monika Ekstrand W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Chenting Zhu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mai Hontama vs Jia-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 63% to Mai Hontama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.