Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 30/07, 02:30

Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Madison Brengle

Team pages: Emerson Jones · Madison Brengle

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Emerson Jones Madison Brengle
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWLW
Madison Brengle 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1499 · Madison Brengle 1540
Emerson JonesMadison Brengle
Our model44%56%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Brengle (rating 1499 vs 1540).
  • Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (7.5/match).

Statistics

Emerson JonesMadison Brengle
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.3-12.711.4-10.3
Aces1.40.1
Double faults7.52.5
1st serve %61.7%52.2%
Break %52.2%53.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emerson Jones

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Carol Zhao
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
22/07 Ayana Akli
W100 Evansville
0-2 9-13 L
24/06 Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 14-17 L
23/06 Linda Fruhvirtova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Dalma Galfi
WTA Ilkley · Grass
1-2 18-20 L
02/06 Mika Stojsavljevic
WTA Birmingham · Grass
1-2 12-16 L
25/05 Iga Swiatek
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
03/05 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
W100 Gifu · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
01/05 Taylah Preston
W100 Gifu · ~Hard
2-1 18-17 W
30/04 Ayano Shimizu
W100 Gifu · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Madison Brengle

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Alexandra Vagramov
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
23/07 Yuki Naito
W100 Evansville
1-2 14-18 L
10/07 Greet Minnen
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 5-13 L
09/07 Kayla Cross
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Ana Sofia Sanchez
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
02/07 Tatum Evans
W100 Cary · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
01/07 Maya Iyengar
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Amelia Honer
W35 Rome
0-1 5-6 L
25/06 Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Rome
2-1 14-13 W
24/06 Nadia Elle Valdez
W35 Rome
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Madison Brengle?

Our model gives 55% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.