Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 30/07, 02:30
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Madison Brengle
Team pages: Emerson Jones · Madison Brengle
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Madison Brengle
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Madison Brengle
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1499 · Madison Brengle 1540
| Emerson Jones | Madison Brengle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Brengle (rating 1499 vs 1540).
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Madison Brengle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.7 | 11.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 52.2% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Taylah Preston W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/04 | Ayano Shimizu W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Madison Brengle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Alexandra Vagramov WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Rome |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Madison Brengle?
Our model gives 55% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

