Tennis · WTA Washington · 30/07, 16:00
Prediction: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapova
Team pages: Diana Shnaider · Anastasia Potapova
Prediction summary
Winner
Diana Shnaider
Anastasia Potapova
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Diana Shnaider
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Potapova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Diana Shnaider
1–1
Anastasia Potapova
(2 last)
- 06 Jan2-0 12-4W
- 23 Apr0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diana Shnaider 1542 · Anastasia Potapova 1542
| Diana Shnaider | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Potapova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Diana Shnaider | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.3 | 12.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Diana Shnaider 1 – 1 Anastasia Potapova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diana Shnaider 1–1 Anastasia Potapova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/26 WTA Brisbane | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/04/24 WTA Madrid | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Eva Lys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/06 | Madison Keys French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/05 | McCartney Kessler French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/05 | Renata Zarazua French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Venus Williams WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Katie Boulter French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Maya Joint French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Jessica Pegula WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Karolina Muchova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapova?
Our model gives 53% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.