Tennis · WTA Washington · 29/07, 17:00
Prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Alexandra Eala
Team pages: Leylah Annie Fernandez · Alexandra Eala
Prediction summary
Winner
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Alexandra Eala
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Leylah Annie Fernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Alexandra Eala
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leylah Annie Fernandez
1–0
Alexandra Eala
(1 last)
- 14 Apr2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1462 · Alexandra Eala 1546
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Eala (rating 1462 vs 1546).
- Alexandra Eala is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Leylah Annie Fernandez 1–0 Alexandra Eala (1).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.7 | 11.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 45% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1 – 0 Alexandra Eala (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1–0 Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 WTA Stuttgart | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Magda Linette WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Alycia Parks French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Victoria Mboko WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Magdalena Frech WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/05 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maya Joint Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Renata Zarazua Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Rybakina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Alexandra Eala?
Our model gives 57% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.