Tennis · WTA Washington · 29/07, 17:00
Prediction: Xinyu Wang vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Xinyu Wang · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinyu Wang
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Xinyu Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xinyu Wang
1–2
Ludmilla Samsonova
(3 last)
- 21 Jun2-0 12-5W
- 14 Aug0-2 8-12L
- 22 Sept0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinyu Wang 1502 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1491
| Xinyu Wang | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Xinyu Wang 1–2 Ludmilla Samsonova (3).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Xinyu Wang | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.8 | 12.2-12.7 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Xinyu Wang 1 – 2 Ludmilla Samsonova (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinyu Wang 1–2 Ludmilla Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/25 WTA Berlin | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08/24 WTA Cincinnati | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09/22 WTA Tokyo | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Madison Keys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Tamara Korpatsch French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/05 | Lilli Tagger French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/05 | Lois Boisson WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Madison Keys WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Jil Teichmann French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Wang vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 56% to Ludmilla Samsonova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.