Tennis · WTA Washington · 30/07, 16:00

Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina

Team pages: Polina Kudermetova · Elina Svitolina

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Polina Kudermetova Elina Svitolina
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLL
Elina Svitolina 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1516 · Elina Svitolina 1524
Polina KudermetovaElina Svitolina
Our model49%51%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (6.9/match).

Statistics

Polina KudermetovaElina Svitolina
Win %60%70%
Win % · Grass 60% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.5-1
Games (G-P)11.4-11.412.6-10
Aces3.43.2
Double faults6.92.8
1st serve %64.9%64.6%
Break %47.7%53.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polina Kudermetova

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Cristina Bucsa
WTA Washington · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
26/07 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Washington · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
25/07 Mei Yamaguchi
WTA Washington · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
13/07 Maria Sakkari
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
05/07 Liv Boulard
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
30/06 Ludmilla Samsonova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
25/06 Alina Charaeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-11 W
24/06 Clervie Ngounoue
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Jessika Ponchet
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 13-11 W
09/06 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 3-12 L

Elina Svitolina

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Daria Snigur
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 7-13 L
23/06 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-1 15-11 W
19/06 Alexandra Eala
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
18/06 Eva Lys
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
02/06 Marta Kostyuk
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
31/05 Belinda Bencic
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
29/05 Tamara Korpatsch
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
27/05 Kaitlin Quevedo
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
25/05 Anna Bondar
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
16/05 Coco Gauff
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina?

Our model gives 66% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.