Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Colin Sinclair vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Colin Sinclair · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Colin Sinclair
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Colin Sinclair
5-5 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Colin Sinclair
1–0
Koki Matsuda
(1 last)
- 21 Nov2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colin Sinclair 1526 · Koki Matsuda 1562
| Colin Sinclair | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Colin Sinclair 1–0 Koki Matsuda (1).
Statistics
| Colin Sinclair | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-12.1 | 11.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 9 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Colin Sinclair 1 – 0 Koki Matsuda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colin Sinclair 1–0 Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/22 Challenger Yokkaichi | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Aly Geldyev Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Ganuka Fernando Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Mossa Alharrasi Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 15/07 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 10/06 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Koki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Karan Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colin Sinclair vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 60% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.