Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 31/07, 10:30
Prediction: Kenta Miyoshi vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Kenta Miyoshi · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Miyoshi
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Miyoshi
7-3 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Miyoshi 1573 · Vadym Ursu 1501
| Kenta Miyoshi | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1573 vs 1501).
- Kenta Miyoshi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Kenta Miyoshi | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.6 | 9.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Melih Anavatan Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Anton Chekhov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 12/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Matisse Bobichon M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Miyoshi vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 67% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.