Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 31/07, 11:00
Prediction: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erel
Team pages: Paul Inchauspe · Yanki Erel
Prediction summary
Winner
Paul Inchauspe
Yanki Erel
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Paul Inchauspe
6-4 (W-L)
Yanki Erel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Inchauspe 1560 · Yanki Erel 1572
| Paul Inchauspe | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Paul Inchauspe | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.8 | 12.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Inchauspe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 22/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Yanki Erel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Radu Albot Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erel?
Our model gives 52% to Yanki Erel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.