Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Deney Wassermann vs Yannik Kelm
Team pages: Deney Wassermann · Yannik Kelm
Prediction summary
Winner
Deney Wassermann
Yannik Kelm
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Deney Wassermann
5-5 (W-L)
Yannik Kelm
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deney Wassermann 1465 · Yannik Kelm 1572
| Deney Wassermann | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannik Kelm (rating 1465 vs 1572).
- Yannik Kelm is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Deney Wassermann makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Deney Wassermann | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11 | 12.4-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deney Wassermann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Fadi Bidan M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Jelle Sels M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Felix Romeo M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 01/04 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Benoit Torcq M25 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Antoni Fabre M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 31/01 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/01 | Sil Hollemans UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/01 | Rein Koenders UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Yannik Kelm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | David Eichenseher M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dax Donders M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Mika Petkovic M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deney Wassermann vs Yannik Kelm?
Our model gives 67% to Yannik Kelm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.