Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 29/07, 10:00

Prediction: Tom Sickenberger vs Jesse De Jager

Team pages: Tom Sickenberger · Jesse De Jager

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Tom Sickenberger Jesse De Jager
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Sickenberger 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLLW
Jesse De Jager 8-2 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tom Sickenberger 1480 · Jesse De Jager 1535
Tom SickenbergerJesse De Jager
Our model42%58%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jesse De Jager (rating 1480 vs 1535).
  • Note: Tom Sickenberger makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Tom SickenbergerJesse De Jager
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.4-0.8
Games (G-P)9.5-10.311-8.4
Aces1.42.5
Double faults4.71.1
1st serve %62%72%
Break %58.1%51.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tom Sickenberger

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Emil Rast
M25 Wetzlar
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Vincent Marysko
M15 Uslar
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Kassel
1-2 15-17 L
02/07 Oliver Majdandzic
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
30/06 Alec Beckley
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
24/06 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Hanu Patel
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/06 Marcel Volz
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/06 Michel Hopp
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Jesse De Jager

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Niklas Grunewald
M25 Wetzlar
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Aaron Funk
M25 Metzingen
1-2 9-11 L
27/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
26/06 Sander Jong
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/06 Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/06 Stijn Hofman
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
02/06 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 7-10 L
28/03 Tim Handel
UTR Pro Monterol · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/03 Julio Cesar Porras
UTR Pro Monterol · Clay
2-0 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tom Sickenberger vs Jesse De Jager?

Our model gives 66% to Jesse De Jager, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.