Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Kaspar Mathes vs Neo Niedner
Team pages: Kaspar Mathes · Neo Niedner
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaspar Mathes
Neo Niedner
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kaspar Mathes
2-8 (W-L)
Neo Niedner
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaspar Mathes 1392 · Neo Niedner 1557
| Kaspar Mathes | Neo Niedner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neo Niedner (rating 1392 vs 1557).
- Neo Niedner is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Neo Niedner makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Kaspar Mathes | Neo Niedner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-11.6 | 10.9-7.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 22.9% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaspar Mathes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Jip Van Assendelft M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Lasse Poertner M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dorian Verrue M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Felix Einig M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Mika Petkovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Aaron Gil Garcia ITF M25 Sarreguemines · Carpet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Mika Lipp ITF M15 Offenbach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 04/09 | Vincent Marysko ITF M25 Meerbusch · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Neo Niedner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lenn Stueckrath M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Jean Baptiste Badon M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Reece Falck M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/12 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaspar Mathes vs Neo Niedner?
Our model gives 79% to Neo Niedner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.