Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 29/07, 04:00
Prediction: Hong Yi Cody Wong vs Himeno Sakatsume
Team pages: Hong Yi Cody Wong · Himeno Sakatsume
Prediction summary
Winner
Hong Yi Cody Wong
Himeno Sakatsume
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hong Yi Cody Wong
7-3 (W-L)
Himeno Sakatsume
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hong Yi Cody Wong
0–2
Himeno Sakatsume
(2 last)
- 23 Nov1-2 17-19L
- 05 Jul0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hong Yi Cody Wong 1555 · Himeno Sakatsume 1469
| Hong Yi Cody Wong | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hong Yi Cody Wong (rating 1555 vs 1469).
- Himeno Sakatsume dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 56.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Hong Yi Cody Wong 0–2 Himeno Sakatsume (2).
- Note: Hong Yi Cody Wong makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Hong Yi Cody Wong | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.4 | 10.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Hong Yi Cody Wong 0 – 2 Himeno Sakatsume (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hong Yi Cody Wong 0–2 Himeno Sakatsume
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/24 ITF W50 Caloundra | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/07/24 ITF W35 Hong Kong | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hong Yi Cody Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sijia Wei WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Dasha Plekhanova WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Katherine Sebov W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Sezim Sagynbaeva Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/06 | Chengyiyi Yuan W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 03/06 | Xinxin Yao W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Elena Pridankina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Kathinka Von Deichmann French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/05 | Manon Leonard French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hong Yi Cody Wong vs Himeno Sakatsume?
Our model gives 53% to Himeno Sakatsume, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.