Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mia Ristic
Team pages: Yelyzaveta Kotliar · Mia Ristic
Prediction summary
Winner
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
Mia Ristic
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
4-6 (W-L)
Mia Ristic
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
0–3
Mia Ristic
(3 last)
- 28 Aug0-2 4-12L
- 21 Aug0-2 3-12L
- 16 Jun1-2 16-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yelyzaveta Kotliar 1516 · Mia Ristic 1600
| Yelyzaveta Kotliar | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1516 vs 1600).
- Head-to-head: Yelyzaveta Kotliar 0–3 Mia Ristic (3).
- Note: Yelyzaveta Kotliar makes many double faults (9.4/match).
Statistics
| Yelyzaveta Kotliar | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.1 | 11.4-6.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 9.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 60.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Yelyzaveta Kotliar 0 – 3 Mia Ristic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yelyzaveta Kotliar 0–3 Mia Ristic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/25 ITF W35 Brasov | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08/25 ITF W50 Bistrita | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06/25 W75 Zagreb | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Andreea Prisacariu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Amandine Hesse WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Liv Boulard WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Tayisiya Morderger WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Mia Ristic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Viola Turini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Gabriela Ce W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Mia Pohankova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pieri W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 71% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.