Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Lucia Bronzetti
Team pages: Alevtina Ibragimova · Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Alevtina Ibragimova
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alevtina Ibragimova
5-5 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alevtina Ibragimova 1574 · Lucia Bronzetti 1598
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alevtina Ibragimova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.3 | 11.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alevtina Ibragimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Clara Burel WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 23/07 | Alice Rame WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Lucia Bronzetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Ilary Pistola WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alevtina Ibragimova vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 56% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.