Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 30/07, 04:00
Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong
Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Coleman Wong
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiri Lehecka
Coleman Wong
Estimated games
25.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka
7-3 (W-L)
Coleman Wong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1553 · Coleman Wong 1470
| Jiri Lehecka | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiri Lehecka (rating 1553 vs 1470).
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.3-15.5 | 10.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 12.8 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.7% | 79.9% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +4.1
Over 21.5: 76% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 24% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 04/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexei Popyrin Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 12/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | James Duckworth ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/05 | Pablo Carreno Busta French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
Coleman Wong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Darwin Blanch ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Borna Gojo Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong?
Our model gives 70% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.