Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 28/07, 22:00
Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Miho Kuramochi
Team pages: Moyuka Uchijima · Miho Kuramochi
Prediction summary
Winner
Moyuka Uchijima
Miho Kuramochi
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Moyuka Uchijima
1-9 (W-L)
Miho Kuramochi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1445 · Miho Kuramochi 1558
| Moyuka Uchijima | Miho Kuramochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miho Kuramochi (rating 1445 vs 1558).
- Miho Kuramochi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Miho Kuramochi makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Moyuka Uchijima | Miho Kuramochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13.5 | 10.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Alycia Parks WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kaja Juvan WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 02/05 | Jessika Ponchet WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Miho Kuramochi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Avery Alexander WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Hiroko Kuwata WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Avery Alexander W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Mia Kupres W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W75 Granby |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Victoria Mulville W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Miho Kuramochi?
Our model gives 58% to Moyuka Uchijima, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.