Tennis · W35 Florence · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Kelly Keller vs Carlota Moreno
Team pages: Kelly Keller
Prediction summary
Winner
Kelly Keller
Carlota Moreno
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kelly Keller
4-6 (W-L)
Carlota Moreno
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kelly Keller 1509 · Carlota Moreno 1493
| Kelly Keller | Carlota Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Carlota Moreno makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Kelly Keller | Carlota Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.6 | 9.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 52.6% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelly Keller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Erika Sema W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Scarlett Nicholson W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kate Fakih W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Elena Goodman W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Jane Dunyon W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yulia Zhytelna W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Simone Kay W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Carlota Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Margaux Maquet W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 09/04 | Ava Markham W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/04 | Sarah Ye W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/02 | Thaisa Grana Pedretti W15 Palm Coast |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Emily De Oliviera W15 Palm Coast |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/02 | Capucine Jauffret W15 Palm Coast |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 18/02 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W15 Palm Coast |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/01 | Deniz Dilek UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelly Keller vs Carlota Moreno?
Our model gives 54% to Kelly Keller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.