Tennis · W35 Florence · 28/07, 17:30
Prediction: Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Team pages: Kaitlyn Carnicella · Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaitlyn Carnicella
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kaitlyn Carnicella
4-6 (W-L)
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaitlyn Carnicella 1559 · Ekaterina Khayrutdinova 1508
| Kaitlyn Carnicella | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaitlyn Carnicella (rating 1559 vs 1508).
- Note: Kaitlyn Carnicella makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kaitlyn Carnicella | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.7 | 10.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaitlyn Carnicella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Maria Aytoyan W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 13/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Lily Taylor W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Rachel Gailis W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Chukwumelije Clarke W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Madison Brengle W35 Rome |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Elena-Teodora Cadar W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova?
Our model gives 60% to Ekaterina Khayrutdinova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.