Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 29/07, 03:00
Prediction: Moise Kouame vs Edward Winter
Team pages: Moise Kouame · Edward Winter
Prediction summary
Winner
Moise Kouame
Edward Winter
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moise Kouame
5-5 (W-L)
Edward Winter
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moise Kouame 1441 · Edward Winter 1498
| Moise Kouame | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edward Winter (rating 1441 vs 1498).
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Moise Kouame | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.8 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-14.8 | 12.9-13.2 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 38% | 26.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.1
Over 21.5: 71% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 29% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Batsomi Marobela Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Alejandro Tabilo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 28/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Marin Cilic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Patrick Kypson ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Edward Winter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Josh Sheehy Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Justin Roberts Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 05/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/07 | William Manning Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moise Kouame vs Edward Winter?
Our model gives 55% to Moise Kouame, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.