Tennis · WTA Washington · 29/07, 17:00

Prediction: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Team pages: Emma Navarro · Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Emma Navarro Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Navarro 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLLW
Elisabetta Cocciaretto 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWWLLLLL
Head-to-head
Emma Navarro 1–2 Elisabetta Cocciaretto (3 last)
  • 08 May0-2 6-12L
  • 21 Sept0-2 8-12L
  • 18 Jan2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emma Navarro 1548 · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1483
Emma NavarroElisabetta Cocciaretto
Our model59%41%
Market70%30%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Navarro (rating 1548 vs 1483).
  • Emma Navarro is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Emma Navarro 1–2 Elisabetta Cocciaretto (3).
  • Note: Emma Navarro makes many double faults (4.3/match).
  • Note: Elisabetta Cocciaretto makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Emma NavarroElisabetta Cocciaretto
Win %70%40%
Win % · Grass 67% (9) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.1-1.4
Games (G-P)12.8-11.411.1-12.7
Aces6.21.1
Double faults4.34.4
1st serve %72.9%63%
Break %36.2%34.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8

H2H · Emma Navarro 12 Elisabetta Cocciaretto (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Emma Navarro 12 Elisabetta Cocciaretto

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DateSetsGamesRes.
08/05/26
WTA Rome
0-26-12L
21/09/25
Billie Jean King Cup
0-28-12L
18/01/24
Australian Open Women
2-116-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emma Navarro

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Sofia Kenin
WTA Washington · Hard
2-0 13-5 W
04/07 Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 9-16 L
02/07 Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 15-11 W
30/06 Paula Badosa
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-14 W
25/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Iga Swiatek
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-1 15-14 W
23/06 Eva Lys
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
21/06 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Nottingham · Grass
1-2 14-17 L
20/06 Viktorija Golubic
WTA Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
19/06 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-8 W

Elisabetta Cocciaretto

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Clara Tauson
WTA Washington · Hard
2-1 18-18 W
29/06 Xinyu Wang
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 11-14 L
22/06 Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 14-19 L
26/05 Alina Korneeva
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/05 Iga Swiatek
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
08/05 Emma Navarro
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/05 Sinja Kraus
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/04 Alycia Parks
WTA Madrid · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
16/04 Veronika Podrez
WTA Rouen · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
14/04 Alina Charaeva
WTA Rouen · Clay
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto?

Our model gives 65% to Emma Navarro, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.