Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Denis Yevseyev vs Tuncay Duran
Team pages: Denis Yevseyev · Tuncay Duran
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Yevseyev
Tuncay Duran
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Yevseyev
4-6 (W-L)
Tuncay Duran
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Yevseyev 1460 · Tuncay Duran 1589
| Denis Yevseyev | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tuncay Duran (rating 1460 vs 1589).
- Tuncay Duran dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Tuncay Duran is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Denis Yevseyev | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.6 | 11.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 83.4% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Yevseyev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Leonardo Borrelli Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Jan Patrick Sinescu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Yevseyev vs Tuncay Duran?
Our model gives 66% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.