Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 28/07, 12:00
Prediction: Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Rachel Gailis
Team pages: Lucija Ciric Bagaric · Rachel Gailis
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Rachel Gailis
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
5-5 (W-L)
Rachel Gailis
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1528 · Rachel Gailis 1473
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Rachel Gailis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucija Ciric Bagaric (rating 1528 vs 1473).
- Note: Lucija Ciric Bagaric makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Rachel Gailis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.5 | 8.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Maria Toma W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Dora Miskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Barbora Palicova WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Rachel Gailis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Yexin Ma W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexis Nguyen W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Christasha McNeil W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Kaia Giribalan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/01 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Weston · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/01 | Tatiana Pieri W35 Bradenton |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Rachel Gailis?
Our model gives 66% to Lucija Ciric Bagaric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.