Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Togan Tokac vs Semen Pankin
Team pages: Togan Tokac · Semen Pankin
Prediction summary
Winner
Togan Tokac
Semen Pankin
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Togan Tokac
9-1 (W-L)
Semen Pankin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Togan Tokac 1557 · Semen Pankin 1524
| Togan Tokac | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Togan Tokac | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.3 | 13.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 64% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Togan Tokac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Yurii Dzhavakian Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Arin Pallegar M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 01/11 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Ethan Silva UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Khololwam Montsi UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Francisco Salmain UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Semen Pankin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Marko Bekeni M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Togan Tokac vs Semen Pankin?
Our model gives 61% to Semen Pankin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.