Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mert Naci Turker vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Mert Naci Turker · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mert Naci Turker
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mert Naci Turker
8-2 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mert Naci Turker 1572 · Vadym Ursu 1487
| Mert Naci Turker | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mert Naci Turker (rating 1572 vs 1487).
- Mert Naci Turker is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Mert Naci Turker | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.9 | 9.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 33.1% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mert Naci Turker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Kuzey Kerem Bayrak Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Melih Anavatan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Matisse Bobichon M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Andreas Timini M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Yoan Naydenov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mert Naci Turker vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 51% to Vadym Ursu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.