Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Kenta Miyoshi vs Shunsuke Nakagawa
Team pages: Kenta Miyoshi · Shunsuke Nakagawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Miyoshi
Shunsuke Nakagawa
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Miyoshi
8-2 (W-L)
Shunsuke Nakagawa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Miyoshi 1561 · Shunsuke Nakagawa 1504
| Kenta Miyoshi | Shunsuke Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1561 vs 1504).
- Kenta Miyoshi dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 43.1% break avg.
- Shunsuke Nakagawa dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 43.5% break avg.
- Kenta Miyoshi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kenta Miyoshi | Shunsuke Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.2 | 10.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Melih Anavatan Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Anton Chekhov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 12/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Karl Poling M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Justin Boulais M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Shunsuke Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Mirza Basic Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/04 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Miyoshi vs Shunsuke Nakagawa?
Our model gives 71% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.