Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 28/07, 11:30
Prediction: Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti
Team pages: Miriana Tona · Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Miriana Tona
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Miriana Tona
4-6 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miriana Tona 1505 · Lucia Bronzetti 1603
| Miriana Tona | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Bronzetti (rating 1505 vs 1603).
Statistics
| Miriana Tona | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.2 | 11.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miriana Tona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Briana Szabo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Yufei Ren WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sapfo Sakellaridi WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Maria Rentoumi WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Marta Lombardini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 11/06 | Dunja Maric W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lucia Bronzetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Ilary Pistola WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miriana Tona vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 77% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.