Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 29/07, 03:00
Prediction: Soonwoo Kwon vs Arthur Gea
Prediction summary
Winner
Soonwoo Kwon
Arthur Gea
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Soonwoo Kwon
6-4 (W-L)
Arthur Gea
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Soonwoo Kwon
1–0
Arthur Gea
(1 last)
- 24 Jun2-1 17-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soonwoo Kwon 1552 · Arthur Gea 1552
| Soonwoo Kwon | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Arthur Gea dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 53.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Soonwoo Kwon 1–0 Arthur Gea (1).
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Arthur Gea makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Soonwoo Kwon | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11 | 12.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 53% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 47% · 1.80
H2H · Soonwoo Kwon 1 – 0 Arthur Gea (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Soonwoo Kwon 1–0 Arthur Gea
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Wimbledon | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soonwoo Kwon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Martin Landaluce Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Arthur Gea Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Arthur Gea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Raul Brancaccio Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soonwoo Kwon vs Arthur Gea?
Our model gives 53% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.