Tennis · WTA Washington · 27/07, 23:00
Prediction: Janice Tjen vs Rebecca Sramkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Janice Tjen
Rebecca Sramkova
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Janice Tjen
4-6 (W-L)
Rebecca Sramkova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Janice Tjen 1447 · Rebecca Sramkova 1534
| Janice Tjen | Rebecca Sramkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Sramkova (rating 1447 vs 1534).
- Rebecca Sramkova dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 53.7% break avg.
- Rebecca Sramkova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Janice Tjen | Rebecca Sramkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 29% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-12.6 | 11.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 25.7% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Janice Tjen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Daria Kasatkina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nao Hibino WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Emma Navarro French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Rebecca Sramkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Carolyn Ansari WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Teodora Kostovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Viktoria Hruncakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Akasha Urhobo WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Julia Grabher French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Maria Lourdes Carle French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Francisca Jorge French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Kayla Cross French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Janice Tjen vs Rebecca Sramkova?
Our model gives 56% to Janice Tjen, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.