Tennis · WTA Washington · 28/07, 16:00

Prediction: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Cristina Bucsa Polina Kudermetova
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Cristina Bucsa 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLWL
Polina Kudermetova 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cristina Bucsa 1520 · Polina Kudermetova 1516
Cristina BucsaPolina Kudermetova
Our model51%49%
Market57%43%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (6.6/match).

Statistics

Cristina BucsaPolina Kudermetova
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 83% (6) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.8-11.311.2-11.4
Aces0.93.2
Double faults2.96.6
1st serve %62.4%66.6%
Break %43.2%49.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cristina Bucsa

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/05 Susan Bandecchi
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
19/05 Shuai Zhang
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
1-2 17-16 L
07/05 Qinwen Zheng
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/04 Zeynep Sonmez
WTA Madrid · Clay
1-2 10-18 L
08/03 Elise Mertens
WTA Indian Wells · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
05/03 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Indian Wells · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/03 Magdalena Frech
WTA Merida · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
01/03 Jasmine Paolini
WTA Merida · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
28/02 Zeynep Sonmez
WTA Merida · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/02 Marina Stakusic
WTA Merida · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Polina Kudermetova

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Washington · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
25/07 Mei Yamaguchi
WTA Washington · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
13/07 Maria Sakkari
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
05/07 Liv Boulard
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
30/06 Ludmilla Samsonova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
25/06 Alina Charaeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-11 W
24/06 Clervie Ngounoue
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Jessika Ponchet
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 13-11 W
09/06 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
07/06 Alina Charaeva
WTA Queens · Grass
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova?

Our model gives 54% to Cristina Bucsa, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.