Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mia Ristic vs Darja Semenistaja
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Ristic
Darja Semenistaja
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Ristic
8-2 (W-L)
Darja Semenistaja
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Ristic 1553 · Darja Semenistaja 1449
| Mia Ristic | Darja Semenistaja | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1553 vs 1449).
- Mia Ristic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mia Ristic | Darja Semenistaja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.8 | 10.2-14 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Viola Turini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Gabriela Ce W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Mia Pohankova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pieri W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Darja Semenistaja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Julia Riera WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Antonia Ruzic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nao Hibino Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Siskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 10/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Ristic vs Darja Semenistaja?
Our model gives 57% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.