Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 27/07, 12:20
Prediction: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere
Prediction summary
Winner
Irene Burillo Escorihuela
Sofya Lansere
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Irene Burillo Escorihuela
6-4 (W-L)
Sofya Lansere
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Irene Burillo Escorihuela 1513 · Sofya Lansere 1454
| Irene Burillo Escorihuela | Sofya Lansere | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Irene Burillo Escorihuela (rating 1513 vs 1454).
- Irene Burillo Escorihuela is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sofya Lansere makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Irene Burillo Escorihuela | Sofya Lansere | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-13.1 | 9.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 7.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Irene Burillo Escorihuela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Sofya Lansere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Elena Malygina WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Yara Bartashevich W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 19/05 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Dayeon Back W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Hanna Chang W35 Andong · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere?
Our model gives 57% to Irene Burillo Escorihuela, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.