Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 27/07, 11:30
Prediction: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Malygina
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Malygina
5-5 (W-L)
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Malygina 1479 · Elena Ruxandra Bertea 1428
| Elena Malygina | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Malygina (rating 1479 vs 1428).
- Note: Elena Ruxandra Bertea makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Elena Malygina | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.8-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12 | 11.6-14.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Malygina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Lisa Zaar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Sofya Lansere WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Viola Turini WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elina Avanesyan Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Marie Weckerle Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/04 | Amandine Hesse W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Weronika Ewald W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/04 | Xinyu Gao W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Gina Feistel W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Julia Riera W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Eva Vedder W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Kathinka Von Deichmann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Martina Trevisan W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea?
Our model gives 53% to Elena Malygina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.