Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Jones
Chloe Paquet
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Chloe Paquet
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Jones
3–0
Chloe Paquet
(3 last)
- 21 Jul2-0 12-4W
- 10 Sept2-0 12-5W
- 11 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1647 · Chloe Paquet 1503
| Francesca Jones | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Jones (rating 1647 vs 1503).
- Francesca Jones is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Francesca Jones 3–0 Chloe Paquet (3).
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-7.4 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Francesca Jones 3 – 0 Chloe Paquet (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Jones 3–0 Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/25 WTA Palermo | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09/24 WTA Ljubljana | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09/21 ITF W60 Montreux | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Darya Astakhova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
Chloe Paquet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Britt Du Pree W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Amy Sucha W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet?
Our model gives 78% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.