Tennis · WTA Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Eala
Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Eala
5-5 (W-L)
Qinwen Zheng
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Eala 1533 · Qinwen Zheng 1472
| Alexandra Eala | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Eala (rating 1533 vs 1472).
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Alexandra Eala | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.6 | 11.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Eala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maya Joint Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Renata Zarazua Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Rybakina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Sakkari WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng?
Our model gives 52% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.