Tennis · WTA Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Magda Linette
Prediction summary
Winner
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Magda Linette
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leylah Annie Fernandez
3-7 (W-L)
Magda Linette
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leylah Annie Fernandez
3–1
Magda Linette
(4 last)
- 09 Nov2-0 12-5W
- 28 May2-1 13-12W
- 07 Apr1-2 13-15L
- 28 Sept2-1 13-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1441 · Magda Linette 1501
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Magda Linette | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magda Linette (rating 1441 vs 1501).
- Head-to-head: Leylah Annie Fernandez 3–1 Magda Linette (4).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Magda Linette | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.5 | 10.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 45% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Leylah Annie Fernandez 3 – 1 Magda Linette (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leylah Annie Fernandez 3–1 Magda Linette
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/23 Billie Jean King Cup | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05/23 French Open Women | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 07/04/22 WTA Charleston | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/09/20 French Open Women | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Alycia Parks French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Victoria Mboko WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Magdalena Frech WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/05 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Anna Blinkova WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Magda Linette
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Jelena Ostapenko French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Tereza Valentova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 06/05 | Tatjana Maria WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Magda Linette?
Our model gives 53% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.