Tennis · WTA Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashlyn Krueger
Katie Boulter
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ashlyn Krueger
8-2 (W-L)
Katie Boulter
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ashlyn Krueger
2–1
Katie Boulter
(3 last)
- 07 Jan0-2 7-13L
- 24 May2-1 15-14W
- 25 Aug2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashlyn Krueger 1618 · Katie Boulter 1491
| Ashlyn Krueger | Katie Boulter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashlyn Krueger (rating 1618 vs 1491).
- Ashlyn Krueger is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ashlyn Krueger 2–1 Katie Boulter (3).
- Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Katie Boulter makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Ashlyn Krueger | Katie Boulter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 90% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.7 | 12.3-13.5 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 71% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
H2H · Ashlyn Krueger 2 – 1 Katie Boulter (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashlyn Krueger 2–1 Katie Boulter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/24 WTA Adelaide | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/05/23 French Open Women | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08/22 US Open Women | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashlyn Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Donna Vekic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Mai Hontama Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Gabriela Knutson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Katie Boulter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Elena Rybakina WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 28/05 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Akasha Urhobo French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/05 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/05 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter?
Our model gives 62% to Ashlyn Krueger, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.