Tennis · WTA Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Emma Navarro vs Sofia Kenin
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Navarro
Sofia Kenin
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Navarro
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Kenin
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emma Navarro
0–1
Sofia Kenin
(1 last)
- 16 Sept1-2 13-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Navarro 1551 · Sofia Kenin 1449
| Emma Navarro | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Navarro (rating 1551 vs 1449).
- Emma Navarro is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Emma Navarro 0–1 Sofia Kenin (1).
- Note: Sofia Kenin makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Emma Navarro | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.4 | 9.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Emma Navarro 0 – 1 Sofia Kenin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emma Navarro 0–1 Sofia Kenin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/23 WTA San Diego | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Navarro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Paula Badosa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Iga Swiatek WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Eva Lys WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Sofia Kenin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Petra Marcinko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Navarro vs Sofia Kenin?
Our model gives 67% to Emma Navarro, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.