Tennis · WTA Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williams
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Potapova
Venus Williams
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Potapova
3-7 (W-L)
Venus Williams
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Potapova 1548 · Venus Williams 1363
| Anastasia Potapova | Venus Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Potapova (rating 1548 vs 1363).
- Anastasia Potapova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Anastasia Potapova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Venus Williams makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Potapova | Venus Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 0% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.5-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11 | 9.5-14.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Potapova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Katie Boulter French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Maya Joint French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Jessica Pegula WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Karolina Muchova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | Dalma Galfi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Venus Williams
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Francesca Jones WTA Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/03 | Diane Parry WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Olga Danilovic Australian Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/01 | Tatjana Maria WTA Hobart · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Magda Linette WTA Auckland · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/12 | Madison Keys Others · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Karolina Muchova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williams?
Our model gives 80% to Anastasia Potapova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.