Tennis · WTA Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Magdalena Frech vs Ann Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Magdalena Frech
Ann Li
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Magdalena Frech
1-9 (W-L)
Ann Li
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Magdalena Frech
0–5
Ann Li
(5 last)
- 10 Feb0-2 7-12L
- 02 Nov1-2 15-18L
- 28 Oct1-2 11-17L
- 05 Nov1-2 12-16L
- 15 Aug0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magdalena Frech 1421 · Ann Li 1483
| Magdalena Frech | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ann Li (rating 1421 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Magdalena Frech 0–5 Ann Li (5).
Statistics
| Magdalena Frech | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-13.1 | 10.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 40% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Magdalena Frech 0 – 5 Ann Li (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magdalena Frech 0–5 Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 WTA Doha | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/11/22 WTA Midland | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 28/10/21 WTA Courmayeur | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 05/11/20 ITF W100 Charleston | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/08/19 ITF W60 Concord | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magdalena Frech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Eva Lys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 27/05 | Jil Teichmann French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Talia Gibson WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Alexandra Eala WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/04 | Solana Sierra WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Shuai Zhang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Emma Navarro WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magdalena Frech vs Ann Li?
Our model gives 61% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.