Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 29/07, 03:00
Prediction: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Cameron Norrie
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Estimated games
25.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cameron Norrie
5-5 (W-L)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cameron Norrie
0–2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
(2 last)
- 08 Jan1-2 16-17L
- 03 Aug1-2 17-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cameron Norrie 1468 · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1457
| Cameron Norrie | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Cameron Norrie 0–2 Aleksandar Kovacevic (2).
Statistics
| Cameron Norrie | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 0.8-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-14.8 | 11.4-14.9 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 18% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.4
Over 22.5: 72% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 28% · 1.83
H2H · Cameron Norrie 0 – 2 Aleksandar Kovacevic (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cameron Norrie 0–2 Aleksandar Kovacevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/26 ATP Brisbane | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/08/23 ATP Los Cabos | 1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cameron Norrie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-31 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/04 | Tomas Machac ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/04 | Rafael Jodar ATP Barcelona · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Ethan Quinn ATP Barcelona · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/04 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Barcelona · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Michael Mmoh ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/05 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Ignacio Buse ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model gives 55% to Cameron Norrie, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.