Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 29/07, 03:00
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Martin Landaluce
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Martin Landaluce
Estimated games
28.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Martin Landaluce
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1571 · Martin Landaluce 1478
| Michael Zheng | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Zheng (rating 1571 vs 1478).
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 41.5% break avg.
- Martin Landaluce dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 47.5% break avg.
- Michael Zheng is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Martin Landaluce makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 83% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1 | 1.7-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.2-13.3 | 18.3-18.1 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +6.2
Over 22.5: 86% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 14% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Cameron Norrie Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Henri Squire Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Martin Landaluce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 08/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/05 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 30-32 | L |
| 28/05 | Vit Kopriva French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 22-21 | W |
| 26/05 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 28-22 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Martin Landaluce?
Our model gives 56% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.