Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 29/07, 03:00
Prediction: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet
Prediction summary
Winner
Jenson Brooksby
Corentin Moutet
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jenson Brooksby
4-6 (W-L)
Corentin Moutet
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jenson Brooksby
0–1
Corentin Moutet
(1 last)
- 29 Jul0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jenson Brooksby 1492 · Corentin Moutet 1458
| Jenson Brooksby | Corentin Moutet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jenson Brooksby 0–1 Corentin Moutet (1).
Statistics
| Jenson Brooksby | Corentin Moutet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 13.8-15.2 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.5
Over 23.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 40% · 1.80
H2H · Jenson Brooksby 0 – 1 Corentin Moutet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jenson Brooksby 0–1 Corentin Moutet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/25 ATP Toronto | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jenson Brooksby
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Ignacio Buse Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Mariano Navone French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Corentin Moutet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 09/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/06 | Stan Wawrinka Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Vit Kopriva French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 18/05 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet?
Our model gives 52% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.